Arizona Cardinals

NFL · 2-5

How Atlas rates them

points a game against an average NFL team · 26th of 28 with a card this week
Offense
−2.2
team −0.3 · J.Brissett −1.8
Defense
−3.6
± 2.5 · points held below average
Net
−5.8
offense plus defense

Expected starter: J.Brissett. −1.8 of that offense is his (± 1.7), and it travels with him: the model rates the quarterback and the team separately and adds them for the game. He is the depth chart's first quarterback unless the injury report lists him out.

The rating is the model's own, after 7 games this season: every team's offense and defense, and every quarterback, are carried from season to season and updated after each game, adjusted for the opponent. The ± is how unsure the model still is. These are the numbers the team's card uses.

Season profile

opponent-adjusted · percentile of the NFL this season
Offensive EPA / play
−0.01
45th percentile
Success rate
44.3%
59th percentile
Explosiveness
0.99
2nd percentile
Defensive success allowed
43.2%
44th percentile · lower is better
Pace
28.6s
13th percentile · seconds per play
Plays per game
57.9
61st percentile

Every figure is point-in-time: it uses only games played before the team's next kickoff.

Upcoming

cards Atlas has published
DateOpponentMarketTotalCard
1 Novat CowboysDAL −7.054.5B

This season, before and after

Cardinals' margin · what Atlas published before kickoff
DateOpponentAtlas marginClosing marginFinalCloser
25 Octvs Broncos−4.7−4.5−14Atlas
18 Octat Rams−9.5−12.5+2Atlas
11 Octvs Lions−4.1−5.5−24Market
4 Octat NYG−2.2+2.5−12Atlas
27 Sepat SF−11.7−7.5−6Market

Over 5 games, Atlas missed the final margin by 11.2 points on average and the closing line by 11.7. A handful of games says little about a model; the full record is on the Research page.

Projection built Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETMarket updated Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETData status

A rating is not a recommendation. Atlas publishes its own number beside the market's and grades how much weight it deserves; it never says what to do with either.