College football

Week of 29 October · 59 cards · 11 graded A or better · 4 marked down

Projection built Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETMarket updated Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETData status

Every game gets a card — and a letter for how much that card's information has historically been worth. How to read one

Featured

ranked matchups, highest-grade cards

Rivalries

played in at least eight of the last nine seasons
12:00 PM ET · ABC
ND −30.5 · 56.5
Atlas total 54.8
A
12:00 PM ET · Fox
IOWA −3.5 · 36.5
Atlas total 41.4
A
1:00 PM ET · ESPN+
MRSH −3.0 · 43.5
Atlas total 46.6
B
2:00 PM ET · ESPN+
GAST −6.0 · 57.5
Atlas total 55.7
A+
3:00 PM ET · ESPN+
ECU −6.0 · 49.5
Atlas total 52.6
C
3:30 PM ET · ABC
UGA −12.5 · 55.5
Atlas total 56.5
B
6:30 PM ET · ESPN+
GASO −5.5 · 56.5
Atlas total 53.5
C
7:00 PM ET · ACC Network
FSU −6.0 · 49.5
Atlas total 52.0
C
7:00 PM ET · FS1
OKST −9.5 · 57.5
Atlas total 53.3
D
7:45 PM ET · SEC Network
MIZ −10.0 · 49.5
Atlas total 48.4
B
7:00 PM ET · ESPN2
not posted · —
no Atlas number
–
8:00 PM ET · ESPN
not posted · —
no Atlas number
–
7:30 PM ET · ESPN2
not posted · —
no Atlas number
–

Next kickoffs

the next five games on the board
Thu 7:30 PM ET · ESPN
UNT −14.5 · 76.5
Atlas total 72.3
B
Thu 7:30 PM ET · ESPN2
JMU −19.5 · 49.5
Atlas total 53.1
B
Fri 7:00 PM ET · ESPN2
TULN −9.5 · 47.5
Atlas total 48.7
C
Fri 7:30 PM ET · ESPN
UCF −1.5 · 47.5
Atlas total 53.6
A
Fri 10:30 PM ET · ESPN2
KENT −9.5 · 46.5
Atlas total 47.4
C

Graded A

11 cards

Atlas and the market are closely aligned. Reliable numbers — and the cards where Atlas is adding least.

Sat 2:00 PM ET · ESPN+
GAST −6.0 · 57.5
Atlas total 55.7
A+
Sat 3:30 PM ET · ESPN+
USM −3.5 · 56.5
Atlas total 56.0
A+
Sat 3:45 PM ET · ESPN2
WAKE −12.5 · 49.5
Atlas total 47.9
A+
Sat 4:00 PM ET · MW+
UNM −14.5 · 41.5
Atlas total 48.0
A
Sat 3:30 PM ET · Fox
BYU −16.5 · 48.5
Atlas total 52.5
A
Sat 12:00 PM ET · Fox
IOWA −3.5 · 36.5
Atlas total 41.4
A
Sat 12:00 PM ET · CW
DUKE −7.0 · 48.5
Atlas total 48.0
A
Sat 4:15 PM ET · BTN
UCLA −22.5 · 44.5
Atlas total 51.5
A
Sat 3:30 PM ET · CBSSN
LIB −14.0 · 44.5
Atlas total 46.0
A
Sat 12:00 PM ET · ABC
ND −30.5 · 56.5
Atlas total 54.8
A
Fri 7:30 PM ET · ESPN
UCF −1.5 · 47.5
Atlas total 53.6
A

Graded B

19 cards

A moderate disagreement, in the range where the model's claim and its realized accuracy stay close.

Sat 12:00 PM ET · ESPN2
SMU −10.5 · 57.5
Atlas total 57.7
B
Sat 4:15 PM ET · SEC Network
OU −4.5 · 44.5
Atlas total 49.1
B
Sat 4:15 PM ET · BTN
PSU −9.5 · 54.5
Atlas total 54.3
B
Sat 3:30 PM ET · ABC
UGA −12.5 · 55.5
Atlas total 56.5
B
Thu 7:30 PM ET · ESPN
UNT −14.5 · 76.5
Atlas total 72.3
B
Sat 7:00 PM ET · CBSSN
SDSU −2.5 · 48.5
Atlas total 50.9
B
Sat 7:45 PM ET · SEC Network
MIZ −10.0 · 49.5
Atlas total 48.4
B
Sat 8:00 PM ET · BTN
NEB −7.5 · 49.5
Atlas total 51.6
B
Sat 12:00 PM ET · ESPN
TTU −3.5 · 54.5
Atlas total 54.2
B
Sat 12:00 PM ET · ESPNU
USF −7.5 · 42.5
Atlas total 44.9
B
Thu 7:30 PM ET · ESPN2
JMU −19.5 · 49.5
Atlas total 53.1
B
Sat 3:30 PM ET · Peacock
ORE −3.5 · 47.5
Atlas total 48.9
B
Sat 8:00 PM ET · ESPNU
MEM −6.0 · 59.5
Atlas total 55.2
B
Sat 1:00 PM ET · ESPN+
MRSH −3.0 · 43.5
Atlas total 46.6
B
Sat 3:00 PM ET · MW+
AFA −1.5 · 51.5
Atlas total 53.6
B
Sat 3:30 PM ET · MW+
NDSU −24.5 · 42.5
Atlas total 52.9
B
Sat 11:00 PM ET · USA Net
ORST −5.5 · 57.5
Atlas total 52.5
B
Sat 3:30 PM ET · FS1
TCU −6.0 · 46.5
Atlas total 46.5
B
Sat 3:15 PM ET · ACC Network
LOU −22.5 · 59.5
Atlas total 58.2
B

Graded C

18 cards

A wide disagreement. The model's historical claim starts to run ahead of what it delivered.

Sat 12:00 PM ET · CBSSN
WMU −13.5 · 44.5
Atlas total 46.6
C
Sat 12:30 PM ET · BTN
MICH −15.5 · 45.5
Atlas total 51.1
C
Sat 6:30 PM ET · ESPN+
GASO −5.5 · 56.5
Atlas total 53.5
C
Sat 3:00 PM ET · ESPN+
ECU −6.0 · 49.5
Atlas total 52.6
C
Sat 10:30 PM ET · CBSSN
UNLV −24.5 · 54.5
Atlas total 53.5
C
Sat 12:00 PM ET · ACC Network
NCSU −7.0 · 56.5
Atlas total 55.8
C
Sat 3:45 PM ET · ESPN
UTAH −6.5 · 56.5
Atlas total 53.3
C
Sat 7:30 PM ET · ABC
MIA −14.0 · 52.5
Atlas total 53.4
C
Sat 7:00 PM ET · ACC Network
FSU −6.0 · 49.5
Atlas total 52.0
C
Sat 3:30 PM ET · CBS
IU −20.5 · 41.5
Atlas total 43.5
C
Sat 7:30 PM ET · ESPN2
PITT −7.5 · 54.5
Atlas total 56.3
C
Fri 7:00 PM ET · ESPN2
TULN −9.5 · 47.5
Atlas total 48.7
C
Sat 3:00 PM ET · ESPN+
LT −5.5 · 58.5
Atlas total 56.5
C
Sat 12:45 PM ET · SEC Network
MISS −13.5 · 57.5
Atlas total 57.6
C
Sat 10:00 PM ET · CW
BOIS −10.5 · 63.5
Atlas total 58.1
C
Sat 7:30 PM ET · NBC
OSU −6.5 · 51.5
Atlas total 54.0
C
Sat 12:00 PM ET · FS1
ILL −2.5 · 54.5
Atlas total 56.0
C
Fri 10:30 PM ET · ESPN2
KENT −9.5 · 46.5
Atlas total 47.4
C

Marked down

4 cards

A large disagreement, in the range where Atlas has been least reliable across every season it never saw. Atlas marks these down itself.

Sat 7:00 PM ET · FS1
OKST −9.5 · 57.5
Atlas total 53.3
D
Sat 3:30 PM ET · USA Net
USU −6.5 · 63.5
Atlas total 59.0
D
Sat 7:30 PM ET · ESPN
TEX −20.5 · 50.5
Atlas total 56.8
D
Sat 2:00 PM ET · TNT
COLO −1.5 · 46.5
Atlas total 50.3
D
About this week's numbers. It is week 9, so team profiles are still shrunk toward last season and efficiency figures move a lot between games. Atlas publishes research, analytics and market context; it does not publish selections, does not size anything and does not project returns.