Carolina Panthers

NFL · 3-3

How Atlas rates them

points a game against an average NFL team · 19th of 28 with a card this week
Offense
−0.3
team +1.7 · B.Young −2.1
Defense
−1.9
± 2.6 · points held below average
Net
−2.2
offense plus defense

Expected starter: B.Young. −2.1 of that offense is his (± 1.8), and it travels with him: the model rates the quarterback and the team separately and adds them for the game. He is the depth chart's first quarterback unless the injury report lists him out.

The rating is the model's own, after 6 games this season: every team's offense and defense, and every quarterback, are carried from season to season and updated after each game, adjusted for the opponent. The ± is how unsure the model still is. These are the numbers the team's card uses.

Season profile

opponent-adjusted · percentile of the NFL this season
Offensive EPA / play
+0.04
59th percentile
Success rate
43.3%
49th percentile
Explosiveness
1.16
78th percentile
Defensive success allowed
45.1%
69th percentile · lower is better
Pace
28.6s
15th percentile · seconds per play
Plays per game
53.7
15th percentile

Every figure is point-in-time: it uses only games played before the team's next kickoff.

Upcoming

cards Atlas has published
DateOpponentMarketTotalCard
29 Octat PackersGB −3.546.5B

This season, before and after

Panthers' margin · what Atlas published before kickoff
DateOpponentAtlas marginClosing marginFinalCloser
25 Octvs Buccaneers+3.4+3.0−30Market
18 Octat Eagles−2.2+3.0+11Market
4 Octvs Lions−1.8−4.5+6Atlas
27 Sepat Browns+0.9+2.5−3Atlas

Over 4 games, Atlas missed the final margin by 14.6 points on average and the closing line by 14.2. A handful of games says little about a model; the full record is on the Research page.

Projection built Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETMarket updated Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETData status

A rating is not a recommendation. Atlas publishes its own number beside the market's and grades how much weight it deserves; it never says what to do with either.