Las Vegas Raiders

NFL · 3-4

How Atlas rates them

points a game against an average NFL team · 21st of 28 with a card this week
Offense
+0.7
team −0.4 · K.Cousins +1.1
Defense
−3.5
± 2.5 · points held below average
Net
−2.8
offense plus defense

Expected starter: K.Cousins. +1.1 of that offense is his (± 1.7), and it travels with him: the model rates the quarterback and the team separately and adds them for the game. He is the depth chart's first quarterback unless the injury report lists him out.

The rating is the model's own, after 7 games this season: every team's offense and defense, and every quarterback, are carried from season to season and updated after each game, adjusted for the opponent. The ± is how unsure the model still is. These are the numbers the team's card uses.

Season profile

opponent-adjusted · percentile of the NFL this season
Offensive EPA / play
−0.09
14th percentile
Success rate
39.3%
13th percentile
Explosiveness
1.13
58th percentile
Defensive success allowed
45.4%
73rd percentile · lower is better
Pace
28.3s
8th percentile · seconds per play
Plays per game
54.8
26th percentile

Every figure is point-in-time: it uses only games played before the team's next kickoff.

Upcoming

cards Atlas has published
DateOpponentMarketTotalCard
1 Novat JetsNYJ −1.545.5B

This season, before and after

Raiders' margin · what Atlas published before kickoff
DateOpponentAtlas marginClosing marginFinalCloser
25 Octvs Rams−3.2−3.5−14Market
18 Octvs Bills−4.0−5.5−3Atlas
11 Octat Patriots−3.2−3.5−28Market
4 Octvs Chiefs−2.4−4.5−3Atlas
27 Sepat NO−2.0−3.5+8Atlas

Over 5 games, Atlas missed the final margin by 9.4 points on average and the closing line by 10.1. A handful of games says little about a model; the full record is on the Research page.

Projection built Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETMarket updated Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETData status

A rating is not a recommendation. Atlas publishes its own number beside the market's and grades how much weight it deserves; it never says what to do with either.