Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL · 5-2

How Atlas rates them

points a game against an average NFL team · 17th of 28 with a card this week
Offense
−1.3
team −0.0 · A.Rodgers −1.3
Defense
+1.3
± 2.5 · points held below average
Net
−0.0
offense plus defense

Expected starter: A.Rodgers. −1.3 of that offense is his (± 1.7), and it travels with him: the model rates the quarterback and the team separately and adds them for the game. He is the depth chart's first quarterback unless the injury report lists him out.

The rating is the model's own, after 7 games this season: every team's offense and defense, and every quarterback, are carried from season to season and updated after each game, adjusted for the opponent. The ± is how unsure the model still is. These are the numbers the team's card uses.

Season profile

opponent-adjusted · percentile of the NFL this season
Offensive EPA / play
−0.01
43rd percentile
Success rate
41.7%
33rd percentile
Explosiveness
1.05
12th percentile
Defensive success allowed
42.9%
33rd percentile · lower is better
Pace
30.2s
65th percentile · seconds per play
Plays per game
58.3
65th percentile

Every figure is point-in-time: it uses only games played before the team's next kickoff.

Upcoming

cards Atlas has published
DateOpponentMarketTotalCard
1 Novvs BrownsPIT −3.539.5A

This season, before and after

Steelers' margin · what Atlas published before kickoff
DateOpponentAtlas marginClosing marginFinalCloser
25 Octat NO+2.3+3.0+6Market
18 Octat Buccaneers−1.1+2.5+7Market
11 Octvs Colts+0.4+3.0+12Market
1 Octat Browns−0.9+2.5−3Atlas
27 Sepvs Bengals−2.8−3.5+3Atlas

Over 5 games, Atlas missed the final margin by 6.3 points on average and the closing line by 5.7. A handful of games says little about a model; the full record is on the Research page.

Projection built Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETMarket updated Oct 29, 2026 4:14 AM ETData status

A rating is not a recommendation. Atlas publishes its own number beside the market's and grades how much weight it deserves; it never says what to do with either.